NOW is the time to enter the Third Annual Cheddar Bay Invitational Reality Football Pickstravaganza!

by Cleveland Frowns on September 7, 2011

It started with a dream that die-hard Jets fan Fred Coupon would lose a wager that would have required him to spend a whole Saturday in our kitchen cranking out piping hot Cheddar Bay biscuits and mixing ice cold Lobsteritas for as many Frowns readers as could fit in the room, while wearing an apron emblazoned with Eric Mangini’s grinning mug. It only ended with the perfect antidote to the insane vagaries of fantasy football, the most phenomenal football picking competition on the internet or anywhere else.

It’s like Grandma Frownie said: Shoot for Cedar Point, because even if you miss, you’ll land at Holiday Sands.

FACT: Nobody who’s ever participated in Cheddar Bay has ever failed to report the event as the most thrilling and enriching experience of the participant’s life.

Now’s your chance. Enter Cheddar Bay, Enter Civilization, after the jump …

The “why” should be obvious, because the fact is you’re going to be watching the games anyway. Finding and tracking the narratives about the games is what makes watching them so much fun, and when you compete at evaluating the worth of these narratives with a group of the best folks anywhere on the internet, the rewards are exponential, which is to say nothing of the chance to win an enormous cash prize.

But most importantly, you can’t even imagine the sort of things you’ll learn about yourself. Last year’s champion, The Commenter Formerly Known as “P” (the only female participant in last year’s pickstravaganza (SAD, ladies)), was mired deeply in last place for the first four weeks of the competition, which seemed like an eternity at the time, but if Cheddar Bay is about anything, it’s about perspective and persistence, and you can’t put a price on what it means to know, to really know what it takes to make any obstacle vanish into the air.

Which is to say nothing of the incredible case of last year’s runner-up Titus Pullo, who’d have won the whole thing if he’d have only managed to pick against the loathsome Steelers on Super Bowl Sunday, the day that’s supposed to be the best football day of the year. Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgment. Stockholm Syndrome is real. The potential for self-improvement is limitless.

And the rules are simple, with some slight tweaks from last year’s: Pick SIX games each week against the prevailing point spread (we’ll use the sportsbook.com column from each Wednesday’s New York Post line, (which Cheddar Bay Boss @jimkanicki will freeze in a digital dropbox and post in the Cheddar Bay thread for each week)), any SIX, as long as you pick at least one NFL game and at least one from the college slate.

Five of the picks each week will count for 1 point each in the standings. For the sixth, your favorite pick, you’re required to write an essay of at least 100 words to post in the comments here to the weekly Cheddar Bay Open Thread, explaining your reasons for the pick in terms of factors/narratives that are misvalued in the point spread. (E.g. “Factor X is not fully appreciated in the line for this game, for reasons X, Y, Z, etc., thus the pick here is Team A.”) The weekly essay pick is worth 3.5 points, and writing the essays is a lot easier than you think it is.

The point of the essays is to share ideas so that we can all use them when we make our own plays outside of this competition, as well as take them into the following weeks. A rising tide lifts all boats, of course. Cheddar Bay has also proven over the years to be an effective groupthink detector. And in the unlikely events when folks come up with something decent in their essays, such prose might be featured in a column here. As you see, the essays are extremely important, so please note that by agreeing to participate here, you’re subject to waiving your entry fee if you bag the essay requirement more than twice. Everybody gets one week with no essay. The second missed essay waives a chance at one weekly prize, and on the third bagged essay you’re out. Writing an obviously thoughtless essay also counts as bagging, and by agreeing to participate you’re agreeing to submit to judgment (the community’s and mostly mine) on what’s “obviously thoughtless.” Nobody was flagged for this last year, though there were some really close calls. Fair is fair. Also, picks should be in by three hours before kickoff for each game you pick (subject to the same penalties as essay bagging), because otherwise the whole data collection thing goes out the window.

Also, if you are wagering on football games anyway and can’t manage to think at least one of them through to the point where it’s easy to write a 100 word essay about it, there’s really no telling how far you’ll come as a person when you enter a phenomenal picking competition that will force you to sit down and do this every week.

The entry fee is $100 (a piddling $5.88 per week for a 17 week regular season), and the fee money will go entirely to the winners. The breakdown will be 50% to first place, 20% to second place, and 30% for weekly winners starting at Week 11 to keep folks in the game. We’ll use the same weighted playoff scoring system that we’ve used in the last two seasons and will decide how many playoff slots there will be in an appropriately democratic fashion once we know how many folks are in for this season but there will be at least four no matter what.

Finally, this is not legal advice, and don’t take it from me, but this thing is one billion percent legal.

ALRIGHT YOU GUYS GET TO PICKING. The Cheddar Bay Week 1 Open Thread is right here with this post so sign up simply by posting your picks here and emailing clevelandfrowns@gmail.com from what will be your official Cheddar Bay email address, which will then be included on the official [CONFIDENTIAL] Cheddar Bay email list to which emails will be sent re: payment and other important things.

Good luck, everybody, and enjoy. Any questions will be addressed in the comments here, or feel free to email clevelandfrowns@gmail.com as always.

  • The Cuuuuuuuuuuugs

    It’s the most, won-der-ful timmmmme, of the year!

  • Anonymous

    I was fully planning on not entering this year, for reasons I suppose arent important.  But this post rejuvenated me and after all, fun is fun, football is football, and cash is cash.

    So count me in.

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  • Anonymous

    IN.

    But where I gots to send my money?

    • Anonymous

      Email clevelandfrowns@gmail.com from your official Cheddar Bay
      email address which I will include on the official [CONFIDENTIAL] Cheddar Bay email
      list to which I will then send emails re: payment and other important things. 

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  • Mmss

    how do we get in the league???  where do we sign up

    • Anonymous

      Sign up by posting your picks for Week 1 in the comments to this post, and email clevelandfrowns@gmail.com from your official Cheddar Bay email address which I will include on the official [CONFIDENTIAL] Cheddar Bay email list to which I will then send emails re: payment and other important things.

  • Anonymous

    “It’s like Grandma Frownie said: Shoot for the moon, because even if you miss, you’ll land among the stars.”
    Grandma Frownie was most assuredly as sweet as could be, but she flunked astronomy class.
    Perhaps she should have taken Astrology instead.

    • Anonymous

      I think the idea is that you’ll keep flying past the moon if you miss it. Anyway, it’s a figure of speech. I can’t even believe you are coming in here talking shit about Grandma Frownie. And on the Cheddar Bay intro post of all posts. Cripes.

      • Anonymous

        Sorry Frownie,
        May I still play Cheddar Bay?  I have my picks and my essay ready.  Shall I post both my picks and my essay?

        • Anonymous

          Apology accepted. Post fixed (for clarity and to avoid any further shots at Grandma). Fire away. 

          • Anonymous

            Do need to write an essay?
            Will my closing statement suffice?

          • Anonymous

            You are fine, Sir. Well done.

  • Anonymous

    ****Caution****
    Please be prepared to pick against this idiot.
    I am taking:
    1.)  BYU over Texas.  (I have some magic hologram, buried confederates, inside information.  I was in Belmont for an hour today and I saw no evidence of a football team.)
    2.)  Fla Int over Louisville
    3.)  Indianapolis Colts over Houston Texans.  Kerry Collins is way better than that Manning guy.
    4.)  Browns over Cincy.  The Beagles are leading San Fran in the S for L sweepstakes.
    5.) The Rotten Cowboys over the Jets.  Rob beats Rex by having D-Ware play cover corner.
    **** special pick/bonus for me.  6.)  Toledo over OSU.   OSU has been in constant turmoil, they have suspended players and one should never forget how much of an impact comes from losing a sweater vest.  More importantly than that the Toledo Defensive Line is terrific, they have about 7 really quality players that they may rotate and keep their defense from having that, (I forgot my Massengill) “not so fresh feeling”.
    Frownie does that qualify as an essay, or must I extrapolate further?

    • Anonymous

      Oh no, I may have screwed up…..  imagine that.
      I just saw the BYU equipment truck get off the freeway and get stuck in a Barnes and Noble Parking lot.  They are sitting right below me as I am smoking a La Flor Dominicana Double Ligero at Heroes and Legacies (plug for a great shop).
      BYU may be missing some equipment tomorrow.
      And, where are the Missionaries  on bicycles?  They could carry that stuff straight down 360.
      The truck took a rather circuitous route, when all they had to do was stay on 183.

    • Anonymous

      Interesting. How do you know this about the Toledo d-line?

      • Anonymous

        I have a friend who played O-line at Toledo in the late 70′s.
        He made me watch a couple of Toledo games.   I only understand the important side of the ball, so I am certain that OSU will not light up the scoreboard.
        I do not know if Toledo can score.
        They really do have a bunch of great looking players on their D-line.

  • Anonymous

    i am in and you have my email.  
    now football season is finally here.   and i like the changes.  
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Eyrdxla52I

  • zarathustra

    I can’t imagine football season without it. I’m in.

  • Anonymous

    And from the guy that finished last season in last place, some picks…..

    1) Cardinals (-7) versus Panthers
    The idea that Cam Newton will be a good NFL QB seems misguided to this observer, but maybe that is my disdain for the SEC animals that live among us. (See http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/6936235/s-e-c-s-e-c-s-e-c)  Having said that, I think anyone that looks at him rationally (basically everyone in society except for the people that cry over some tree being poisoned on the Auburn campus) knows it is going to be a rough first season.  In the preseason he was inaccurate and there is no reason to think that will not continue.  And if you need more reason to think he will struggle, the veteran mentoring him is Derek Anderson.  This definite bad QB play is a part of a team that was 2-14 last season.  

    Meanwhile, Arizona benefits immensely from ridding of Derek Anderson and upgrading to Kevin Kolb.  Despite being the recepient of scorn by Frowns, Kolb is undoubtedly going to bring the Cardinals a much needed upgrade to a team that was  a Super Bowl contender when they had good QB play.  They probably don’t get back to that level, but there is reason for optimism and excitement in AZ.  Hence, a jacked up crowd, a healthy Beanie Wells, and a competent QB will be more than enough for the Cardinals to cruise this weekend.  

    2) Arizona (+13.5) at Oklahoma State.  
    3) Louisville (-3.5) versus Fla Int. 
    4) Saints (+4) at Green Bay
    5) 49ers  (-5.5) versus Seahawks
    6) Broncos (-3) versus Raiders

  • http://bryanjoiner.com/ Bryan Joiner

    1. Michigan +3.5 over ND
    2. Brownies! -6.5 over Bungloids
    3. Bears +3 over Falcons
    4. Rams +4.5 over Iggles
    5. Cardinals -7 over Panthers
    6. Bucs -1.5 over Lions:

    There once was a boy named Bryan
    Who wanted to pick the Lions
    To his chagrin
    Everyone was all in
    So screw’em, get rich or die tryin’

    I had a couple more limericks that fell apart, but the fact is this: the team everyone thinks Detroit is, and I would love them to be, Tampa actually is. The collective national will to have Detroit in the playoffs—guilt from the 0-16 season, general decline—is almost strong enough to have people forget that they’re a couple years away from really being a force. The Bucs were good last year, and will be much better this year. They won’t be great, but they’ll lose to really good teams and beat average teams. This is a game they’ll win.

  • http://twitter.com/cnp3 Chris P.

    1) Purdue -1 at Rice
    2) NY Jets -4.5 vs. Dallas
    3) Seattle +5.5 vs. San Francisco
    4) Tennessee +2 at Jacksonville
    5) Denver -3 vs Oakland

    And finally…

    So let me get this straight.  ”Institution of Higher Learning in a climate paradise” is a team that spent a lot of years in the dregs,  got themselves a hell of a football coach, and turned the program into a very good perennial bowl team from a midsize conference.  Soon after a good bowl win over an armed forces academy, their coach is the 4th choice and last one standing for his dream job, so he bolts before he can recruit more good players to the former team in the dregs.  The team is left to fend for itself, promotes from within and tries to pick up the pieces.

    Then in a cruel twist of fate the coach that spurned them appeared on their schedule.  Two weeks out from a fight against Brady Hoke and the Wolverines of Michigan, San Diego State has to be chomping at the bit to get to the 24th.

    In the meantime, with the biggest game in YEARS on the horizon, they have to spot a team 10 while pretending they’re not looking ahead???

    Now who would they be spotting ten in this situation? Akron?  Otterbein?  Seriously, it couldn’t be a bowl team, because San Diego State isn’t really the kind of perennial program that spots bowl teams 10.  

    But it is a bowl team.  

    Well maybe the opponent will have to fly overnight for the game because SDSU is half a world away from their nonconference games.  

    No, it’s an away game.  They’re the ones traveling 2K miles.  

    Well, maybe this opponent has nothing to play for early in the season and will pack it in because of questionable character guys dragging their team down in this offseason of NCAA turmoil 

    Well, no, it’s in a 3 way tie for most disciplined team in the nation.  

    Maybe they have nothing to play for?  

    Sure… I mean what possibly could ARMY, 2010 bowl team, have to play for the day before the tenth anniversary of 9/11 at home, in West Point???

    You celebrate America, take your moment of silence Sunday, but be sure to keep real quiet because it’s gonna take a long time and a lot of high numbers to count my winnings by hand.

    6) Army +10 vs. San Diego State

  • Anonymous
  • Anonymous

    1) Texans (-9) vs Colts2) Pats (-7) at Dolphins3) Titans (+2) at Jaguars4) Bills (+6) at Chiefs5) Central Florida (-7) vs Boston College6) Bears (+3) vs FalconsNFL experts and stat gurus are down on the Bears this year.  They claim last year was very lucky for the Bears because they won a lot of close games and avoided injury (the same can be said for the Falcons).  Not to mention the Bears patchwork O-line, age of the team, and strength of the NFC North.  There is one x-factor that overrides all these points: Jay Cutler.  The Bears were a couple plays away from keeping the Packers out of the playoffs!  Jay just watched his arch rival and buddy Aaron Rodgers win a super bowl.  For the first time in his life, Jay is going to take his profession seriously, he came into camp 25 lbs lighter and looks great.  Another year with Martz, and there’s a decent chance this is going to end badly, however I believe in people, I believe in Jay.  This is the season for him to become one of the premier QBs in the NFL.

    • Anonymous

      I’m with it, but you forgot one thing. #TEAMFUCKTHEFALCONS

    • Anonymous

      I’m with it, but you forgot one thing. #TEAMFUCKTHEFALCONS

    • Anonymous

      Absolutely agree, but any essay expressing optimism for the Bears and not mentioning Dane Sanzenbacher should be docked points. 

  • Anonymous

    Post updated with rule on deadline for submitting picks.

  • Anonymous

    I will submit my other five picks tomorrow, but for now:  Brosefs money pick.

    Nobody doesnt know that Oklahoma St can score a bunch of points and that Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon have been clicking on all cylinders for a while (12 straight 100yd receiving games for Blackmon).  But people could be sleeping on Joseph Randle who averaged a respectable 5.5 yards per carry as a freshman in limited action, and had a very nice game last week.

    As far as Arizona, people (the line) seem to be getting a little too aroused over Nick Foles’  big game last week at home against Northern Arizona.  Yippee.   He threw three picks against the Cowboys in last years 36-10 loss in the Alamo bowl, and going into Boone Pickens stadium (http://bit.ly/phHSUt) against a top ten team is going to be a whole different ball game, as evidenced by losing by an average of 18.5 points per game on the road against top ten teams since 1992.

    And finally, in perhaps unimportant but interesting trends, OSU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games, and 41-17-2 ATS in their last 60 games as a favorite.
     
    *Oklahoma State (-13.5)

  • Peter

    SD  - 8.5  OVER MINN

    AZ  -7  OVER CAR

    NE  -7 over MIA

    This pick is the perfect example of my typical strategy and my outlook for this season.  I like the big spread games.  I like my chances of good teams beating up on bad teams.  This has worked well for me in the Cheddar Bay.  The other thought is that teams with experience and good coaching should do well this season.  The lockout should make these characteristics more of an advantage.  Young teams will be at a distinct disadvantage. 

    I thought ND’s defence played very well against a running QB.  The Irish only gave up 16 points on defense.  The Domers will bopunce back

    Skip Holtz wont let USF have a let down at home.  Watch the Bulls this year, and see hjow long USF can keep Skip in Tampa.

    CLE-6.5 OVE CIN

    USF -20 OVER BALL STATE

    ND +3.5 OVER MICHIGAN

    Tis the Season!!!!!

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  • Saro Gumusyan

    DOLPHINS (+7) vs. Patriots
    Steelers (+1.5) vs. RAVENS
    Titans (+2) vs. JAGUARS
    REDSKINS (-3) vs. Giants
    Seahawks (+5) vs. 49ERS
    NORTH CAROLINA (-10) vs. Rutgers

    This season marks the fifth anniversary of “Pandemonium in Piscataway,” the thrilling Rutgers victory over undefeated (though hardly intimidating) Louisville and the alleged “arrival” of Rutgers as a relevant football power. Rutgers spent the following summer straining their shoulders patting themselves on their backs and even proclaimed themselves “New York’s team.” No one asked how a team from central New Jersey could lay claim to that title, but it was assumed that game would be the recruiting foundation for a solid Big East program. Since that fateful season, Rutgers has firmly established themselves as a middling team in an also-ran conference, and hit rock bottom last season. They’ll win their cupcakes against Norfolk State, Howard and Florida International, but the fun stops when the BCS conference teams show up. UNC, no titans themselves (the ACC should be renamed VTETC),  keep the mojo going as they circle the wagons following a tumultuous offseason.

    • Anonymous

      Excellent. I’ll go in with this one.

      • Anonymous

        I couldn’t pull the trigger with a 10 point spread on a program so recently coached by Butch Davis.

  • Anonymous

    Dolphins +7 v. Patriots
    Hot weather, sunshine, and cave-man offense is just the ticket to keep you close when facing super-spy Bill.
    Colts +9 v. Texans
    Trading on the idea of the early season Cavs’ experience, take away Alpha and the Beta’s grow an instant shoulder chip. Texans will win but will sweat for it.
    Bears +3 v. Falcons
    Cutler is a pretty proud dude and is going to do the Albert Belle “here’s your cork right here” thing after that playoff nonsense.
    Eagles -4.5 v. Rams 
    Philly will brutalize teams with any hint of inexperience at QB. Philly will brutalize everyone, frankly.
    TCU -1.5 v. Air Force
    While their own air-game is in transition, the Frogs have plenty of anti-aircraft ammo to expose the dark side of the Force.

    On the money pick, I’m keeping it close to home. Browns give 6 to the floating turd in the Ohio River, smile patronizingly at the Appalacian right’s inability to understand the causes and effects of recidivism, and boost Cleveland optimism to completely unrealistic levels. The gods grant Cleveland this anesthesia, as Pomerantz gives up 1 run in 6 innings striking out 8 in his major league debut.

    Points to ponder: Cedric Benson will be one of the few backs we face that can’t expose our general lack of defensive speed. Faced with a frustrating running game, a rookie QB will have read the paper and think he can just chuck stuff up for rookie AJ Green to bail him out. Doesn’t work in the big leagues, and won’t even work in Cleveland. Ward rolls on the stickum, and encouraged to play fast and dumb, the only question will be who ends up with all the balls that initially bounce off his body.

    Cleveland wins the line war and Peyton Hillis enjoys greeting the mediocre linebackers 3 yards downhill, giving the offense a comfort zone and some 2nd and 4′s. Hence the WCO looks easy-breazy. 3 playmakers is no problem for most teams to defend, but too much for cinci. Monday morning we’re talking about how addition of Little has revitalized the entire receiving core.

    The externals are a wash- Yes, the Browns have all new everything, have barely practiced and are counting on youth in some key spots.  But half of the Bengles have to worry about Sheriff’s deputies gunning them down on any open-field breakouts, ankle bracelets activating on hard hits, or Mike Brown firing them for scoring and ruining his chances at Luck.

    Browns -6 v. Bengals

    • http://twitter.com/cnp3 Chris P.

      I know TCU is at least 1.5 better than Air Force, even if they play on a carrier – but who picks against a service academy playing at home this week?  No way touching that, no way no how.  

      #godcountryjesuswaveflagsarahpalinleegreenwood

      it’s a good thing we’ve switched presidents, because you’re either with us or you’re against us.

  • http://www.redright88.com Titus Pullo

    Sittin’ by the Cheddar Bay
    Watchin’ the tide roll away,
    Sittin’ by the Cheddar Bay
    Wastin’ time

    May as well start where I ended last year. I’ll take the Pack -4.5 tonight against the Saints to get things started.

    Football is back and just in time.

    • Anonymous

      Titus,
      Did you leave your home in Georgia?

      • http://www.redright88.com Titus Pullo

        Who? What?

        • Anonymous

          My apologies TP,  I believe that song starts with;
          I left my home in Georgia
          Headed for Frisco Bay

          • Anonymous

            I got it. Don’t bother slowing it down for Pullo, I mean, that guy picked the Steelers in the SB last year.

          • Titus Pullo

            My bad, I had a moment of density reading the post after a long day of work. Nice job!

          • Anonymous

            Density has popped me to you.

    • http://www.redright88.com Titus Pullo

      NFL picks comin’ at you:

      Pittsburgh (+1.5) vs. Baltimore

      Atlanta (-3) vs. Chicago (sources tell me Julio Jones could take on the Bears 1-on-11 and still win, he’s just that special)

      And the money:

      Jets (-4.5) vs. Dallas

      General manager Mike Tannenbaum has spent the past few years
      building the New York Jets into Super Bowl contenders. The biggest contribution
      he made was hiring Rex Ryan as head coach. Late at night, deep, deep in our Orange and Brown souls, we
      wish that Ryan was head coach of the Browns.

       

      But that’s not why we’re picking the Jets.

       

      New York
      will be playing at home on Sept. 11.

       

      But that’s not why we’re picking the Jets.

       

      Dallas
      quarterback Tony Romo is the reason.

       

      Over the summer, Romo held his bachelor party … in a cabin
      … in West Virginia
      with his male friends … playing hide-and-go-seek.

       

      WTF?

       

      Didn’t Romo ever watch Wrong Turn? (Sweaty Eliza Dushku in a
      tank top? Sign us up!) Rural West
      Virginia is where the inbred, cannibal hillbillies
      live. And that’s where Romo decided to have his bachelor party? And did we
      mention the hide-and-go-seek with his friends?

       

      How can you trust your quarterback when he makes those kinds
      of decisions?

       

      Add it all up and it’s a no-brainer to take the Jets and lay
      the points.

      Good luck everyone.

  • http://twitter.com/DavidLDeBord David DeBord

    PIT +1.5 @ BAL
    TEN +2 @ JAC
    AZ -7 v CAR
    Vandy -2 v Conn
    SC -3 @ UGA
    ALA -10 @ PSU***

    In brief:  Steelers/Ravens is good football.  It will come down to the end, a FG will win.  I think the Steelers are just slightly better.  Ten/Jac I do not believe in Luke M.  The Jags could be a disaster this year.  AZ/CAR everything said by ChuckKoz.  Vandy/Conn the lights of NashVegas will blind them.  SC/UGA  Boise is for real, but even given that UGA looked awful.

    Ala/PSU is my money game.  My last ex-girlfriend is a PSU alum.  We broke up in January of this year.  We went to the OSU and MSU games last year.  The MSU game was at Happy Valley.  I’d been there before, but those were games when PSU woodsheded patsies.  The crowds were great at those games.  But, to my surprise, I found that the crowd at the MSU game was weaksauce frontrunners.  I was very disappointed.  The crowd matters in college against good teams, and I don’t think the Lion crowd has it anymore.  When things start to go bad they get grumbly and mostly silent, while occasionally growling at random unimportant things, much like their coach. The Tide get a couple early scores, the crowd goes silent, and the Lions get stomped by the Elephants. F#ck PSU.

    • The Cuuuuuuuuuuugs

      Love the rationale against Penn State… you will do well this year my friend!

    • Anonymous

      Eleventeen millions hates.  Although I dont necessarily agree with the crowd analysis, I dont necessarily disagree with the pick.  

      And lets suppose you are on point re: the crowd, I would only say they probably deserve to have a little slack cut their way due to what theve been forced to endure the last few years.   

      And as to whatever happened between you and your ex, no need to take it out here with “f#ck PSU” blasts.

      • http://twitter.com/DavidLDeBord David DeBord

        Fair points, all fair points.  It’s been a long off-season.

        • Anonymous

          Totally hear ya. 

    • http://twitter.com/DavidLDeBord David DeBord

      The Steelers got rocked, and I was a push machine, but that was my only loss.  I love football season and Cheddar Bay.

  • http://www.davidaarnott.com David A.

    Pittsburgh over Baltimore

    Michigan over Notre Dame
    Stanford over Duke
    Navy over Western Kentucky

    OAKLAND OVER DENVER
    No one’s beating San Diego in the AFC West this year; let’s get that out of the way. However, what too many people will be surprised to see is Oakland beating out both KC and Denver. To sum up: We KNOW that John Fox hates the concept of quarterbacking enough to subject the world to Jake Delhomme and to run all of his RBs into the ground, but we also KNOW that he doesn’t have much talent to wring out of the Broncos’ runners. We KNOW that Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe are spiffy playmakers, but we also KNOW that Todd Haley is an egomaniac who will submarine his own team’s success in order to prove that individual players should never be “bigger than the team”, when really he’s conflating notions of selfish play with relying on one’s best players to be the best players, and conflating Bill Belichick’s habit of dumping useless players (who sometimes happen to think they’re better than they are) with disciplining players who merely want to play more. In Oakland, Hue Jackson has hit a sweet spot where no one acts like entitled teenagers, everyone has something to prove, and multiple players (McFadden, Campbell, Seymour, McClain, Branch) are solid-to-excellent talents. It’s coming together, starting Monday night.

    • http://www.davidaarnott.com David A.

      Whoops. Left out one pick: Chiefs over Bills.

  • Anonymous

    Test post…let’s see if I can get this to work from my phone as my work firewall has blocked only the comments section.

  • Anonymous

    Great success.

    • Anonymous

      I congratulate you on your great success!

  • The Cuuuuuuuuuuugs

    Here we are, beginning another fantastic season of Cheddar Bay! So far I
    love the way the league has opened: some new rules have been added, talk
    of astronomy, and even excerpts from how it all began… wait a minute,
    how it all began… six games to pick now… I think I have my theme for this week down.

    The Book of Genesis

    Cheddar Bay Version

    “In the beginning, God created the heaven and the earth… and God said ‘Let there be light’ – and there was light. And God saw the light, that it was good.”
    1. Standford (-20.5) over Duke
    Last week, I tried to be cute and pick Duke to win a football game against the spread. Not only did they not cover, they lost to Richmond. Let me just say that I have seen the light, and it is good.

    “And God said, ‘Let there be a firmament in the midst of the waters, and let it divide the waters from the waters.’ ”
    2. Iowa (-6) over Iowa State
    Ah, nothing like a good rivalry to divide the good citizens of Iowa. Look, if Iowa is supposed to be as good as advertised and emerge from the Legends division in the Big Ten title game, they need to take care of business in their home state first. Ferentz will have his team ready in their season opener.

    “And God said, ‘Let the waters under the heaven be gathered together unto one place,’ and God called the dry land Earth and the gathering of waters he called Seas.”
    3. Navy (-9.5) over Western Kentucky
    The Midshipmen might train for their adventures on the Seas, but they ran all over the dry land and Delaware last week. 391 yards of Rushing offense! I’d take this game if Navy was giving up 19.5 points.

    “And God said, ‘Let there be lights in the firmament of the heaven to give light upon the earth’… and God made two great lights; the greater to rule the day and the lesser light to rule the night.”
    4. USC (-8.5) over Utah
    Welcome to the Pac-12 Utah, why don’t you go play USC? Both these programs used to be two great lights within college football. USC dominated all headlines, while Utah was the surprise in the dark, Cinderella story. Even in looking at schedules, USC plays Minnesota in Week 1 while Utah stepped to face Montana State. Both have been replaced in their roles by other “lights,” but I’ll still take the greater light here.

    “And God said, ‘Let the waters bring forth abundantly the moving creature that hath life, and fowl that may fly above the earth,’ and God blessed them and said, ‘Be fruitful and multiply.’ ”
    5. VT (-18) over Eastern Carolina
    VT was fruitful with touchdowns last week against App St in one of my picks. South Carolina was fruitful with scoring touchdowns against Eastern Carolina last week. I have a feeling, after last year’s Week 2 debacle, VT is going to make sure they do not let their season slip away before the conference schedule. Here’s to hoping that by picking them, my bank account will continue to multiply!

    And the money pick…

    “And God said, ‘Let us make man in our image, after our likeness.’ So God created man in his own image; male and female he created them. And God blessed them, and said, ‘Be fruitful, and multiply, and have dominion over the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of the air, and over every living thing that moveth upon the earth.’ ”
    6. Philadelphia (-4.5) over St. Louis
    Kind of ironic that I have a Biblical-themed week of picks and I go against a team with “saint” in their name. But the Eagles offense, a top five offense last season, with its overall team speed will have dominion over a Rams defense that was primarily ignored in the off-season. Laurinaitis does a nice job in the middle against the run, but I can’t see him spying and then chasing down Vick in the open field. I understand the Rams are trying to build up their offense through the draft, but the new faces in the Eagles defense will be up to the task, including a certain guy who will be wearing C. Matthews on his jersey (Casey). I see the Eagles as the number one contender to the Packers in the NFC; when you have that kind of feeling about a team, anything less than a touchdown in a spread sounds good to me.

    “And God saw everything Cugs had picked, and, behold, it was very good.”

     

    • http://twitter.com/DavidLDeBord David DeBord

      This was good work Cuuuuuuuuuuuuuuugs

  • Anonymous

    Dang … 1700 in the pot so far. Nice work, team!

  • Smittypop2

    I am probably going to pass on the Cheddar this year because of this non-sensical Mangini crap. I have pretty much put your site on boycott as a result.  Sorry buddy….it isn’t like the old Frowns. I can’t take this evangelical stance on one of the worst coaches in Browns history. It is too annoying to sort though and pretty sad to me. Good luck to everyone else who is participating!

  • Anonymous

    IMPORTANT UPDATE TO BROSEFS MONEY PICK

    Within the last hour Juron Criner, Arizona’s best receiver and Nick Foles’ favorite target, has been ruled out tonight.  

    • Anonymous

      but will foles’ hair be playing?

      • Anonymous

        Yep, and it was obviously the first consideration bought and paid for in this line.

  • zarathustra

    Saints over Packers
    Do I particularly like this pick? Not at all. Am I so jonesing for football season that I can’t not make a pick tonight? Sadly, no. So says my GA sponsor anyway.
    I’ll post the rest of my picks tomorrow.

  • Anonymous

    why does it have to be in 3 hours before the game starts?  as long as it’s posted before kickoff it should count, just like at the book.   it would make it easier for me to participate because i honestly do not know who i like until the very end..  

    i got 4 picks that i just put into the book that i like very much, it is less than 3 hours before kickoff:

    Saints +5
    Saints UNDER 48
    OKST -14
    OKST UNDER 66

    if not, oh well, best of luck to you guys with your picks..  

    • Anonymous

      That rule is flexible, and we’ll bend it extra for you. But NO OVER/UNDERS, so you still need to get three more in.

    • Anonymous

      Also, it has to be in 3 hours before the game starts so that everybody can see who everybody else is picking before they make their “real” picks.

      Also, Cheddar me up with the SAINTS tonight.

  • http://twitter.com/byRiverBurns River Burns

    It’s poop or get off the pot time for Dennis Erickson in Tempe.  The Sun Devils have had some near-misses with the bigger programs the past two years, almost besting Georgia in Athens in 2009 and going out of their way to come up short in Madison against a Wisconsin team that turned out to be pretty good a year ago.  They ran with the Ducks for a half before mistakes did them in, and mistakes is what quite frankly has been the underlying theme of Erickson’s tenure in the desert.

    Stability, or lack thereof, has haunted this team over the years, from a quarterback controversy that almost drove Brock Oswieler off the gridiron in Tempe to Mark Few’s hardwood at Gonzaga, but because of Jack Elway’s daddy issues and Stephen Threet’s ceberbral medical issues, the question mark has been erased for the Sun Devils at QB for the first time since Jake Plummer.  Cameron Marshall is the best running back west of the Mississippi that you’ve never heard of, and the 6’8″ has a solid ensemble of receivers to keep the prize for the runner-up in the #SuckForLuck sweepstakes off the field.  Make no question about it, MLB Vontaze Burfict is the real deal that is coined by the Head Coach as Ray Lewis 2.0, even if he is a head case.  You have to think that someday he’ll love his teammates (both OLB’s are his high school teammates) enough to stop donating 15 yards to the opponent in the 4th quarter for the sake of Sun Devil nation.

    Did I mention that ASU will be wearing black jerseys, and ecouraging fans to “blackout” the open-air stadium on a 105 degree night?  Because anytime you can get everyone to wear the same color t-shirt that wasn’t a primary or secondary color just six months ago, you have to do it.  Missouri isn’t a big opponent, having not exactly blown a strong MAC team out of the water in Week 1, but this will be a big game atmosphere.  I’m taking Arizona State and giving 7.5.
    Northern Illinois (-5.5) at KansasTCU (+1) at Air ForceToledo (+18.5) at Ohio StateUtah (+8.5) at USCDetroit (+1.5) at Tampa Bay

    • http://twitter.com/byRiverBurns River Burns

      What’s the official Cheddar Bay stance on the Utah-USC game?

      • Anonymous

        the line was usc -9.5, the new final is 23-14, so the six points didn’t affect the cheddar picks.

        (your utah pick lives!)

  • Anonymous

    osu -19 toledo
    iu +6.5 uva
    tulsa -12 tulane
    temple -15 akron 
    raiders +3 broncos
    ***wiscy -20.5 or st

    bret bielema is pissed.

    you know what happens when bret bielema is pissed?  has something to prove? at camp randall? in their opener? you know, right? he scores more than 70 points on you as he did THREE times last year. holy christ.* 

    this is also an offensive lineman factory. check out this guy** (58) –who is NOT gabe carimi– from the rose bowl. i watched him push some TCU LB ten yards from right to left. i don’t know his name but he’s not a senior because i wanted the browns to draft him.

    which brings us to oregon state. um. tough loss to sacramento state at home last week. wait, waht??

    so in addition to bielema wanting to get on espn’s front page and pad his BCS numbers… #58 needs to build out his draft highlight reel. result for oregon state will look jacquez rodgers on this hit from ucla.

    *can not WAIT for wiscy/nebraska. bielema and pelini could come to blows.
    **his name is ricky wagner. just a junior. 6-6/300+. this site rates him 4th best tackle. just a junior.

  • Anonymous

    moved the picks to google docs this year.  still w-i-p, but they’re up at:
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ArCP1PYtyMA8dHFDcWhSTE03VnBybklTYzB6WDZNMkE&hl=en_US

    check your picks for accuracy.  do note that the wednesday lines are in use.  so if you looked at that ny post link today, your spreads will be different.  (that’s why i posted those pdfs.)

    for quick look at standings, hit the ‘standings’ tab.

    happy cheddar!

    • Anonymous

      Excellent. You are a genius, and a saint, and probably a wizard.

  • Anonymous

    As a long time observer thrilled to be a part of it this year…

    New York Jets (-5) over Dallas
    Cleveland (-6.5) over Cincy
    Arizona (-7) over Carolina
    Minnesota (-20) over New Mexico State
    Wake Forest (+1.5) over NC State

    and for the big pick I head west to the new Pac12 where there is a non-conference game between conference foes Colorado and Cal. Ignore the first week results and ignore the 45 point beatdown that Cal put on the Buffs last year. Cal is a terrible road team winning only once from home last year (and should Washington State even count?) and Colorado actually is decent at home going 4-2 last year. This is a statement game for a Colorado team loaded with young players and an all new coaching staff full of NFL experience trying to shake themselves from the disaster that was the Dan Hawkins. Add in a new QB for Cal making his first road start and I’ll take the Buffs.

    Colorado (+6.5) over Cal

    Thrilled to be a part of one of the finest things on the Internet. 

  • Danwhalen555

    1. Detroit +1.5 @ Tampa Bay   NFL
    2. Tennessee +2 @ Jacksonville   NFL
    3. Dallas +5 @ NY Jets   NFL
    4. Houston -22 @ North Texas   CFB
    5. Missouri +9 @ Arizona State    CFB

    ANDDD….
     Buffalo +6 @ Kansas City   NFL

    Ryan Fitzpatrick is not nearly as bad as the team he plays for, contrary to the popular belief of everyone not from Buffalo who never sees him play.  And, watching the Chiefs–the Chiefs who played their offensive starters nearly the entire 4th preseason game because Todd Healey felt they weren’t nearly where they should be–it is obvious that they are struggling to score points. While Jamaal Charles is my RB for BOTH of my fantasy teams, Matt Cassel is banged up, and I think he’ll look more like 2009 Matt Cassel this season, leaving his offense a little short on firepower. Last year’s Bills v. Chiefs matchup went to KC 13-10 in overtime at Arrowhead. I think this game will be similar, but I’m looking for the Bills to win it outright. Plus, I’ll be in the lower bowl near the 50-yard-line at kickoff before I head back to Cleveland next week.

    • Danwhalen555

      typo…Todd Haley. 

    • Anonymous

      I really wanted to make that Buffalo pick, but I think they should be getting more for traveling.

  • http://twitter.com/squeekycleen Squeeky Cleen

    Top Pick: BYU

    This week’s selections really all boil down to morals, and
    what better place to start than with the group from Provo, Utah. Yes, this
    collection of fine gentlemen doesn’t drink, smoke, or have premarital sex. If
    that wasn’t enough to get you to back them, don’t forget the hidden advantage
    of the magic underwear under their gear. While this number may seem low, you
    can rest assured that higher powers will be on the Cougars side when they head
    to Texas to take on the Longhorns. I’m sure the man upstairs has not forgotten the
    Ramonce Taylor pecan farm incident – things certainly have gone downhill in
    Longhorn country since that one.

    Other picks:

    Toledo: Ohio St. and its tattoo factory have not been on a
    righteous path the last few years. Toledo has really begun to redeem itself
    after the game fixing era of the mid 2000s.

    Oregon St.: Brett “I love to run up the score” Bielema is
    really the poster boy for poor sportsmanship. Can’t say that about the Beavers,
    who were kind enough to give Sacramento St. a win last week.

    Dolphins: Can’t say enough about an organization that is
    allowing Brandon Marshall the space to deal with his borderline personality disorder.
    Kudos to the Fins for bringing attention to this debilitating disease.

    Rams: Would much rather side with all American quarterback
    Sam Bradford than convicted dog killer Michael Vick.

    Florida International House of Pancakes: I’m not sure what this
    has to do with morals. But if loving pancakes is wrong, I don’t want to be
    right.

    • Anonymous

      i dunno about dog killers but you’re right not to lump yourself together with a rapist like vince the polack did.  good job.  

    • Anonymous

      If the man upstairs does remember the Ramonce Taylor pecan farm incident, I’d have to call that a point in favor of the Longhorns.

      The Oregon State pick might be the ballsiest one of the week.

  • Anonymous

    i know there will be lots of eye-rolling over nd being my
    lock of the week.  but hey – c’mon now – do i see a bengal pick amongst ye
    frownie faithful?  that’s what i thought.  when the x’s and o’s make at least
    some sense – which they do with nd and michigan (and with the brownies and
    bengals, of course) – one week into the college season and first game of the nfl
    season is just way too early to be a cynic about the possibilities of your
    team.  that’s just true, and anyone that says otherwise is either a hater (it’s
    too early in the season to be a hater!) or just plain miserable (it’s too early
    in the season for anyone (except maybe indy fans) to be just plain miserable!),
    or both.  i feel bad for those people.
     
    anyway, i’m not
    one of them and, judging by the picks thus far you guys aren’t either, and that
    says something really nice about the frownie community.  and, because i love and
    respect you fellow frownies so much, and also to prove to you how deeply i
    believe in my “don’t be a hater of your team” meme this week, i’m dedicating two
    of my picks this week to *your* faves.  first is stanford over duke – that’s for
    all you suck for lucker’s out there.  and the second is temple over akron –
    that’s for you, frownie (and mangini too, of course).
     
    #goirish
    #gobrownies #lovemyfellowfrownies  here are my fashionably
    much-better-late-than-never don’t-be-a-hater (also the x’s and o’s make sense)
    picks:
     
    ***nd
    -3.5 michigan*** (michael floyd + tommy rees = offensive gold; take it
    from my fellow frownie peter (or watch the tape!!!) nd’s defense looked good
    against a running quarterback; michigan didn’t even outplay western michigan
    last week 
    -  the wolverines won by capitalizing on turnovers and nd simply can’t be
    that careless with the ball again this week)
     
    stanford -20.5 duke (duke just got beat by a 1-AA team i’d pick luck – oops
    i mean stanford – here if the line were -40.5)
     
    osu -18 toledo
    (osu likes to rack up the big wins early on and especially this year, when they
    are out to prove they can win without tressel and people that sold their
    pants)
     
    temple -15 akron  (last year akron lost to temple 30-0; the temple
    defense is really athletic and returning 7 starters; temple is coming off a huge
    win and akron is coming off a crushing defeat; temple can blow akron off the
    line of scrimmage and temple has a really good running back (pierce) to score
    lots of touchdowns when that happens).
     
    ga tech -11 midd tenn  (side note: during my atlanta phase ga tech was my
    team, which means this pick fits my don’t-be-a-hometown-hater meme.  as for the
    x’s and o’s: i get that middle tennessee looked good against purdue last week,
    and ga tech looked sloppy rolling over western carolina.  but last year tech
    beat this team 42-10, and the personnel aren’t that dramatically
    different.  also paul johnson is facing the biggest pack of haters *ever* after
    last year’s dismal 6 win season – he’s out to prove why he can win with the
    option in the ACC (he can) and he’ll have the team as disciplined as his navy
    teams used to be (this won’t be another 6 fumble outing).  and last: it’s just
    really really hard for college teams to come off gut-wrenching losses and bounce
    back the next week, especially against a team they’d have a hard time keeping up
    with under the best of circumstances.) 
     
    brownies -6.5 bengals (go colt go cripes i really did just say that and you
    guys already know why the x’s and o’s make sense)

    • Anonymous

      I like the Temple pick. #hometownhater

      • Anonymous

        no no no you’re only a hometown hater if you pick against the home team “when the x’s and o’s make at least some sense.”  for the zips there’s just no way to make the x’s and o’s make even some sense, that’s all.  

  • Anonymous

    Steelers (+1.5) over Ravens ***
    Chargers (-8.5) over Vikings
    Iowa (-6.5) over Iowa State
    Central Michigan (+10.5) over Kentucky
    Falcons (-2.5) over Bears
    Stanford (-20.5) over Duke

    ***

    If Big Ben is good enough for The Onion this week, he’s good enough for The Polack.

    There’s some stat that in the last 8 or 14 or 19 or something meetings between the Steelers and Ravens, the Steelers are 6-2 despite only outscoring Baltimore 647,023 to 647,022. Or was it 6 total points to 4 total points? There was a six involved. It might have been the number of fingers James Harrison managed to squeeze into Flacco’s eyesocket, now that I think about it. Either way, there’s a stat with numbers out there involving two NFL teams, and before I was even coerced into entering the Cheddar Bay extravaganza, I heard that stat broadcast in the background as Frowns was talking about Eric Mangini. My heart stopped briefly at the sound of football talk about anything other than a coach who no longer coached the team I root for. But I could only half hear what they were saying because Eleventyforty rounds of whiskey were being delivered to the table at the same time. But it stuck in my head, that stat about Pittsburgh managing to nearly always beat Baltimore though the two are evenly matched, and I remembered the numbers today while deciding whether to do Bud Carson week at Cleveland Scene, eventually deciding writing these 200-some-odd words of gibberish were the proper outlet for the knowledge.

     

    • Anonymous

      big ben isn’t good enough for ANYONE.  gross.  

    • Anonymous

      I cannot wait for Bud Carson week at Scene!!! 

  • http://www.redright88.com Titus Pullo

    Fresh off Thursday night’s win, let’s get set with two college games tomorrow:

    Texas (-7) vs. BYU

    Stanford (-21) vs. Duke

    That just leaves Sunday’s NFL slate. We’ll be back.

    • Anonymous

      Hey TP and everybody, post all of your picks so that they’re connected in the same thread so that they’re easier to keep track of. THX.

      • Anonymous

        Like if there was a pick in that comment I left just above, I’d put the next group of picks right here.

        • http://www.redright88.com Titus Pullo

          Just another example of the man trying to keep the free spirits down.

          No problem. Normally I would do all the picks at once, but it’s been hell week at work.

          I’ll be sure to add my award-winning NFL picks to my original entry.

  • Anonymous

    New England -7 over Miami
    New York Giants -3 over Washington
    Stanford -21 over Duke
    Alabama -10 over Penn State
    Wisconsin -20.5 over Oregon State

    Essay Pick: Ohio State -19 over Toledo

    Seems as if a lot of people are taking Toledo in this one, seeing as how the line has moved to 17.5 as of today. I’ve even seen several picks for Toledo winning this game outright. This individuals are seriously misguided. 

    Toledo has some nice players, no doubt. Eric Page is obviously very explosive, Adonis Thomas is a fine back, and they have solid QB play. Akron they are not. But that also doesn’t mean they are getting within 19 points of this OSU squad.

     It seems that most predictions for this game have OSU scoring 30 something points and Toledo checking in in around 17. Why anyone thinks Toledo is going to score 17 points baffles me. In 2010 OSU’s defense allowed 13.3 ppg. It allowed 12.2ppg in 2009, 13.1ppg in 2008, etc.  Two years ago OSU defeated Toledo 38-0. Granted, this is an improved Toledo team. But improved enough to cut that score in half? No.

    Yes, OSU lost a lot of defensive starters. Yes, many players are suspended. Yet, despite all this, the defense may well be better than last years unit. The defensive line looks absolutely dominant, and is perhaps the nation’s best. LB Andrew Sweat is likely an improvement over Homan and Rolle, NFL draftees both. The secondary welcomes back starters Tyler Moeller and C.J. Barnett from injury. Travis Howard suspended? No problem. Dominic Clarke acquitted himself incredibly well last week.It will be incredibly difficult for Toledo to put together sustained drives simply due to the talent gap, and big plays are unlikely as that is exactly what the OSU defense is designed to prevent. 

    OSU also looked much improved on special teams coverage last week. Page is a gamebreaker, no doubt, but he still needs blocks to get free, and I don’t see his teammates being able to do that for him.

    And unlike under Tressel, the offense will not go into a shell in the second half with OSU comfortably ahead. Fickell is a) simply more aggressive by nature and b) doesn’t have the option of buttoning things up. With Miami, MSU, and Nebraska on the horizon, Fickell needs to see what he has in his QBs. They will play in the second half and they will be throwing the ball. I don’t see this Toledo defense slowing down OSU at all, especially with the loss of perhaps their best defender in Molls. 

    As for OSU’s defensive reserves, well, they are very good. Freshman Michael Bennett and Ryan Shazier are not much of a step down from OSU’s starters. Rugy player Nate Ebner is out for blood. Jordan Whiting is coming off suspension and will be looking to come back with a bang.

    This team is hungry, they are pissed off, and they have something to prove. Oh, and despite the loss of Pryor/suspension, they are still very very very good. Much better than people give them credit for.

    • Anonymous

      “Fickell is a) simply more aggressive by nature and b) doesn’t have the option of buttoning things up. ”
      Great point.  It may have pissed off Rob Ianello last week, but they’re not letting up late in the game.

      • Anonymous

        THAT WENT WELL

        • Anonymous

          Fail.

  • Anonymous

    25 entrants.  $2500.  sweet baby jesus.  we’re approaching brosef’s monthly maproom tab.

  • Anonymous

    Hi Everyone! I’ve been sitting on the sidelines for the last year and I’m ready to play! so here goes:
    Raiders over Broncos
    Browns over Bengals
    Stanford over Duke
    USC over Utah
    Buccaneers over Lions
    and the money pick is Jets over Cowboys
    I thought to start the season with teams I’d love to see do well.  The Jets have a solid team from last year and they drafted well.  They are not always given the best odds and the press is all over them.  Rex Ryan is passionate about his team and its reflective in his players.  The Cowboys have quite a few doubtful player Terence Newman, Mike Jenkins and offensive tackle Tyron Smith.  My friends in Texas feel differently than I do but come Sunday I’ll be a cheerleader for the Jets  Wahoo!

  • Mike D.

    Tampa Bay (NFL) -2

    NY Jets (NFL) -5
    StL Rams (NFL) +4
    Titans (NFL) +2
    TCU (NCAA) +1*
    USC (NCAA) -8.5

    Pick of the week – TCU +1 over Air Force:

    Reasoning – TCU is coming off a demoralizing season opening loss
    to the Baylor Bears and will be looking to avenge this against the
    Falcons of Colorado Springs. Historically, TCU is 4-0 against the
    spread (ATS) in their last 4 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in
    their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in
    their previous game, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an
    underdog of 0.5-3.0, & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following
    a loss ATS. Meanwhile, Air Force is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
    as a home favorite, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win,
    & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The trends +
    desire to overcome the season opening loss = TCU WIN ATS. It is a
    bit discerning how heavily money is flowing in favor of the Horned
    Frogs (almost 3-1), but regardless, they’ll get it done.

  • Clay

    Browns (-6.5) over Nati
    USC (-8.5) over Utah
    Uconn (+2.5) over Vandy
    BC (+6.5) over UCF
    ND (-3) over Michigan

    Money Ball:

    Southern Miss (-7.5) over Marshall

    So Miss is 5-1 all time vs Herd and 3-0 at Marshall.  Herd offensive line blows and they have no playmakers.  So Miss o-line and Herd d-line matchup a little better, but good So Miss  rb’s should wear them down in 2nd half cause Herd offense blows and should be 3 and out all day.  Add to fact So Miss thinks they have a real shot at goin 12-0 this year so I cant see them slippin here.  I have no idea why this line aint double digits.  Dont know how many words this is but hope it qualifies (I am talkn bout So Miss / Marshall after all).
    Peace.  Go Browns.

  • FSOhioZJackson

    NFL: Denver -3
    NFL: Tennessee +2
    NCAA: Cincinnati +6
    NCAA: Toledo +19
    NCAA: Michigan +3.5

    NFL: Bengals +6.5

    Because they’re the Bengals, and they’re a joke, and they’re starting a redheaded rookie QB on the road, and there’s all kinds of history that says a rookie will lose this one and many others over the next four months. But who, exactly, are these Cleveland Browns to be giving 6.5 to anybody not named the Akron Zips? Vegas has beaten me before and might beat me again, but I’ll take the points.

  • Sam Sneeda

    Notre Dame -3Toledo +19Alabama -10BYU +7 ***Redskins +3Bills +6

    I think Texas is way overrated and a tough, disciplined, physical BYU
    team will hang around in this game.  Both defenses are pretty good and I
    expect a low scoring game so I will gladly take the 7 here.  BYU went
    to Ole Miss last week and won…not an easy feat, and I think Ole Miss
    is just as good as Texas.  Ole Miss is a run heavy team and BYU had no
    problems on defense last week stopping the run…Texas too will rely on
    the run, mostly because their QB is terrible…this game will be close! 

  • Anonymous

    with almost 30 players we can do some fun things.  in that vein, please take note of the coolest thing evah.  wordcloud gadget on your picks!

    toledo is getting more play than osu?  the titans (and stanford) are the second most popular pick?  in any case, it’s good to see the optimism for the brownies, for sure.

    • Anonymous

      #sidebar’d

  • ZARATHUSTRA

    With it being Mangini Week around here I shall make all of
    my picks in honor of the unjustly deposed coach.  

    Ohio State over Toledo

    Another good coach, but better man, who was brought down by
    the machinations of an insane world. 
    Have there ever been two more kindred spirits?   Both
    the victims of the half-witted ankle biters in the media.  For Mangini the coup de grace executed by the
    hapless Prince Hal and Lord Chief Justice Holmgen; for Tressel the plantation
    owners of the NCAA.   Whereas Browns fans will have to pay the penance
    for the doings of the falsely pious Holmgren, it is the nation (well, the MAC
    anyway) who must answer for the injustice done to Coach Tressel. 

    Bengals over Browns

    Let’s put aside the obvious karmic reasons here.   How many home openers have the Browns won
    since they came back?  Isn’t the line
    banged up?  Didn’t they just change
    defensive schemes?  Do they currently
    have the players to run said scheme?  Aren’t
    all of the starting linebackers nursing injuries or have troublesome injury
    histories?  Who are their back-ups?  Isn’t Dick Jauron the coordinator?

    Several other questions could be asked but I’ll finish with
    just one: Isn’t it a little bit concerning  how confident (arrogant?) Brown’s fans are
    about this game, treating it as a pre-ordained win?  I’ll take the points.

    Stanford over Duke

    Smart, tough football players who care about the game.  Green sticker.

     

    SMU over UTEP

    Um . . . because southern Methodists are to Protestantism as
    Italians are to Catholicism?  And, uh,
    Mangini is Italian . . . and. . . um . . .  look over there!

    ***Alabama over Penn State

    Before the sages in the local media ran Coach Manigini out
    of town there was another Brown’s coach they assured us was incompetent and no
    more than a talented coordinator.  When
    he found success elsewhere we were assured that, far from their assessment
    being in any way misguided, that said coach had “learned” so much since his
    time in Cleveland.  Before Eric Mangini
    developed into that coach’s prized pupil whom he chose to lead his defense
    there was another.  Not a protégé, but a
    comrade.  He didn’t stay in Cleveland
    long before he broke out on his own to conquer major college football.  He’s now leading a national championship
    contender into a game with what is basically an also-ran from an inferior
    conference.  

    • Anonymous

      HELLO, FRIEND!

      #fortyleventythreeveunitsonBama

      • Anonymous

        Man I couldn’t do it. Penn State’s D is good. Too many people on Bama.

        • Anonymous

          And that’s just what I get, isn’t it? GREAT PICK. #ManginiWeek

  • Anonymous

    WOOPS thought we could post these things anywhere. Won’t make that mistake again!

    Alabama over Penn State

    Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay
    Buccaneers

    Philadelphia Eagles over St. Louis
    Rams

    Cleveland Browns over Cincinnati
    Bengals

    New England Patriots over Miami
    Dolphins

     

    Seattle Seahawks over San Francisco
    49ers

     

    As attending pro sporting events
    becomes increasingly expensive, like many Americans, I’ve begun to seek
    alternative outlets to experience live sports. (I recommend the Burning River
    Roller Girls in Cleveland for a good, cheap time, incidentally.) As I live in
    the Bay Area, I have been able to attend the NFL’s unloved, shitty cousin
    league, the UFL in the form of the Sacramento Mountain Lions. Last year, I
    attended the Mountain Lions vs the Las Vegas Locomotives, where the Mountain
    Lions committed a league-high six turnovers, with five coming from former
    Madden cover star and three-time Pro Bowler Daunte Culpepper. Flo Rida played
    the half-time show.

     

    The 49ers were in such dire straits at
    the QB position this off season that they worked out Daunte Culpepper, a man
    (albeit once an extremely talented athlete) that single-handedly committed five
    turnovers in the UFL. This is why the 49ers have already won the #Suck4Luck campaign
    and yeah the Seahawks are godawful but still. Damn. 

    BLAH BLAH TAVARIS JACKSON ON THE ROAD WHO CARES

  • Anonymous

    5 bama picks out there.  zero penn st picks.

    brosef.  represent.

    (i would but, you know, i’m locked into tulsa, iu and such as.)

    • Anonymous

      Trent Richardson’s 3 TD belie his 2.8 yards per carry.  I could see PSU keeping it close… or not.  I don’t want any part of that bet.

    • Anonymous

      I couldnt pull the trigger.  If I was gonna play Id take ‘Bama but I had visions of Bama winning by 9, and consequently, me the rest of the sanity

  • Anonymous

    Nearly convinced myself I wasn’t gonna have time for such a competition.  Did I dodge a bullet!?  We’ll see how these picks go.

    Tampa Bay (-1.5) over Detroit

    Ohio State (-19) over Toledo

    Mississippi State (-6.5) over Auburn

    Army (+10) over San Diego State

    Notre Dame (-3.5) over Michicant

    South Carolina (-3) over Georgia

     

    Georgia scored three touchdowns last week against Boise State.  All three were big plays – a 36-yard pass, a
    51-yard pass, and an 80-yard run by Brandon Boykin, a starting cornerback.  Aside from those plays, there were no scoring
    opportunities.  Georgia was 0-0 on the night
    in the red zone.  Their offensive line is
    weak and Boise certainly exploited that to the tune of 6 sacks.  South Carolina’s defensive line is just as
    good as Boise’s, if not better.  South Carolina’s secondary is suspect and Aaron
    Murray is a good quarterback, but he’s going to see a lot of pressure.

     

    On the other side of the ball Todd Grantham is Georgia’s coordinator,
    so there’s that.  Georgia continually
    left the middle of the field open and Kellen Moore picked them apart without
    completing a pass over 20 yards.  Stephen
    Garcia isn’t Kellen Moore, but he’s more than capable of exploiting holes in
    Georgia’s secondary.  He has weapons in
    Alshon Jeffery and Marcus Lattimore, and supposedly he’s been given the
    captaincy for the first time in his career.

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  • http://twitter.com/CapitalGG Gavin Gould

    Late-ish entry into the pool:

    1) Wisconsin -20.5 v. Oregon St.
    2) Iowa -6.5 @ Iowa St.
    3) Ohio St. -18.5 v. Toledo
    4) PIT -1.5  @ BAL
    5) ARZ -7  @ CAR

    6) Really good team with an offense that puts up pinball
    numbers coming off a loss last week to a National Championship contender in a
    “neutral site” game played halfway across the country and a few hours
    from the opponent’s home stadium.  Now
    they get to return home, play a team down a weight class and did I mention the
    offense can put points on the board in multiples of 20? This line would probably be 4-8 points higher but for being down on a team that got beat by a
    legitimate National Championship contender in a de
    facto road game.  So let’s go Oregon
    -26.5 v. Nevada.

  • Anonymous

    My friend Dennis is in too. He can’t post from his phone but he wants Michigan and Alabama today. He’ll get in with his NFL’s tomorrow.

    • Anonymous

      These are the rest of Dennis’s picks. He didn’t know to post them here.

      Panthers +7
      Titans +1
      Texans -9
      Bucs -1  ***

      The
      Bucs team is coming off of an 11-5 record last season and everyone
      expects them to revert to the mean.  This is a team that was wracked by
      injuries last year and still managed to go well above expectations. 
      Josh Freeman continues to be on of the most under-rated players in the
      league.  The Lions team is everyone’s sleeper favorite to get into the
      playoffs and have a winning record despite not making strides last
      year.  Their defense should still be strong but Stafford has yet to show
      consistency and no one is giving the Bucs any love in week
      1. 

    • Anonymous

      These are the rest of Dennis’s picks. He didn’t know to post them here.

      Panthers +7
      Titans +1
      Texans -9
      Bucs -1  ***

      The
      Bucs team is coming off of an 11-5 record last season and everyone
      expects them to revert to the mean.  This is a team that was wracked by
      injuries last year and still managed to go well above expectations. 
      Josh Freeman continues to be on of the most under-rated players in the
      league.  The Lions team is everyone’s sleeper favorite to get into the
      playoffs and have a winning record despite not making strides last
      year.  Their defense should still be strong but Stafford has yet to show
      consistency and no one is giving the Bucs any love in week
      1. 

  • Anonymous

    I am making a late entry into the Cheddar. I still STRONGLY DISAGREE with Frowner and his current use of posting abilities to post all this crap about Mangini. I also strongly disagree with his usage of powers to eliminate posts that he disagrees with. I did have to put aside my differences because the Cheddar is toooooooooo great not to. Here we go with my week 1 picks (I do want to thank Kanicki for his hard work and wish everyone good luck this year!!!):

    NCAA

    South Carolina -3 over UGA—-UGA sucks.

    ND -3.5 over UM–ND had 5 turnovers last week and 3 inside the 5 and only lost by 3 to a decent team. They would have punished a MAC team if they had the chance.

    Houston COUGARS -22 over North Texas-JUST BE THEM!!! SCORE RUNNER UPPERS SUPREME!!!

    NFL

    ATL-3 over CHI—2 words-JAY CUTLER!

    Tenn +2 over JAX–Luke McCown is favored in a football game? Help me understand this please.

    PICK OF THE WEEK********

    Pit +2.5 over Baltimore

    I love the Curtain in this matchup. I know it has been said all year, but the Ravens D is getting old, old, old and they have one of the shittier secondaries in all of football (Ed Reed is obviously a Boss). I love Ray Rice, but I think Flacco has had the benefit of a really good team for his first few years. I know the Frownies hate Roethlisberger and I know why—-he just makes plays though. The Steelers are STRONG at WR and they still have the craziest man alive playing RB (google his insane tweets and comments) and punishing people. I think the Ravens are going to start the decline this year and probably settle in at 8-9 wins and just miss the playoffs.

  • Dood

    Pete,

    sorry I’m late.  And sorry my essay is long – just so FREAKIN’ excited. 
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    1) Michigan  over Notre Dame

     

    2) Raiders over Broncos

     

    3) Jets  over Cowboys

     

    4) Eagles over Rams

     

    5) Titans  over Jags 

     

    6) Giants over Redskins

     

     

    Conventional wisdom suggests that in his first ever cheddar
    bay tournament, Big Dood lets his essay pick fly with the NY Giants.  That may have been obvious.  What hasn’t been so apparent, at least
    to those paid to watch them play football and write about it, is that for all
    the season ending injuries, and departing free agents, the Giants are a better
    team than they were a year ago – and had that team held on to a two touchdown
    lead for the fourth quarter against Philly, they win the NFC east and the
    Packers miss the playoffs altogether. 
    Glancing at the Giants preseason activity, the blowhards have failed to
    recognize addition by subtraction. 
    Beatty has played very well at left tackle, but having virtually anyone
    playing the spot other than Diehl (far better suited to guard) would have made
    for improvement.  O’hara and
    Seubert played admirably, but poorly, through injury – again, almost anyone
    would have been better.  Now David
    Baas and Will Beatty step in, Diehl slides over, and the O-Line begins to
    mirror an already lethal defensive front, giving the Giants what they’ve been
    chasing since Plax blew away their ’08 run: a team capable of physically
    imposing themselves on almost any opponent, on both sides of the line.  I hear the Skins have improved
    themselves.  Fine.  They can’t punch with this team
    yet.  At least not in Big Dood’s first
    Cheddar Bay Essay Pick. 

     

  • Anonymous

    Browns-6.5:  rarely has a rookie won his first NFL start on the road..  don’t see it hapenning for Dalton, even facing a defense that has a lot of question marks with lack of depth and playing in a brand new system..  cinci’s defense is tough even with losing joseph and rivers for this matchup, but i think the dink pound and dunk offense of colt, hillis and company should be do enough to cover the 6.5 point spread..  it’s my big money pick.  

    Jags +1.5Bears +2

    • Anonymous

      panthers +7

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  • http://www.davidaarnott.com David A.

    Clemson over Auburn
    North Texas to cover at Alabama
    Boise St. over Toledo
    Dallas over San Francisco
    Oakland to cover at Buffalo
    OKLAHOMA STATE to destroy Tulsa
    Here’s the thing you need to understand about Oklahoma State: They are an offensive powerhouse on par with any other offense in the country, and nobody seems to realize it. Justin Blackmon might be the best “amateur” wideout. Quarterback Brandon Weeden is 27(!) years old — a man among semi-men — put up a 67% completion percentage last year, and could exceed that this year. But they’re not just passers. Even with 532 pass attempts last season, Kendall Hunter rushed for over 1500 yards, and he wasn’t even much of a pro prospect. Last year, in Stillwater, they crushed Tulsa by 37, and since they’re the bigger school and are only traveling an hour and change, it will be hardly a road game. I’d be taking them if the spread was 23.5.

  • Anonymous

    Week 2

    Boise St over Toledo
    LSU over Mississippi St
    Wisconsin over Northern Illinois
    Oaklahoma St over Tulsa
    Green Bay over Carolina

    For the money I’ll take Stanford over Arizona

    Cardinals with Andrew Luck are dominating weaker opponents and I believe they will continue to do so. The Cardinals are coming off a 44-14 victory over Duke. The wildcats suffered a 37-17 loss to Oaklahoma St. Although Stanford trails the series with Arizona, they won the last 3 of 4 games. The Cardinals won last year 42-17 in Palo Alto.
    Cardinals are 9-1 in Sept over the last three seasons. They have won 10 straight games dating back to last season. Combined scoring offense average 50 Pts a game over it’s first two games. If they keep this up I’m going to do fine Saturday.

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